Serum klotho levels and mortality patterns in frail individuals: unraveling the u-shaped association.

BACKGROUND: Frailty, a clinical syndrome intricately linked with the aging process, stands as a harbinger of numerous adverse outcomes, most notably mortality. This study aimed to elucidate the association between serum α-klotho concentration and mortality patterns, including all-cause and cause-specific mortality, in patients with frailty. METHODS: The study employed Cox proportional hazard models, smoothed curve fitting, and supplementary analyses, encompassing threshold effect analysis, subgroup and sensitivity analyses, to explore the relationship between α-klotho levels and mortality, including all-cause, CVD, and cancer-related mortality. RESULTS: Among the 2,608 frail individuals (mean age: 60.78 [SD 10.48] years; 59.89% female), the mortality stood at 25.35% during a median follow-up period of 6.95 years. Both unadjusted and adjusted models revealed a significant inverse association between higher serum α-klotho levels and the risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality ([mean(95% CI) 0.68 (0.55, 0.83)] for all-cause mortality; [mean(95% CI) 0.48 (0.32, 0.74)] for CVD-related mortality, all P for trend < 0.001). Notably, log2-klotho displayed a U-shaped correlation with all-cause mortality and cancer mortality, characterized by thresholds of 9.48 and 9.55, respectively. The robustness of these findings was consistently supported by subgroup and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: This study unveils a U shaped association between serum α-klotho levels and both all-cause and cancer-related mortality among middle-aged and elderly individuals with frailty in the United States. The identified serum α-klotho thresholds, at 714.8 pg/ml for all-cause mortality and 750.6 pg/ml for cancer-related mortality, hold promise as potential targets for interventions aimed at mitigating the risks of premature death and cancer within this vulnerable population.

Association of Disrupted Delta Wave Activity During Sleep With Long-Term Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Delta wave activity is a prominent feature of deep sleep, which is significantly associated with sleep quality. OBJECTIVES: The authors hypothesized that delta wave activity disruption during sleep could predict long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD mortality risk. METHODS: The authors used a comprehensive power spectral entropy-based method to assess delta wave activity during sleep based on overnight polysomnograms in 4,058 participants in the SHHS (Sleep Heart Health Study) and 2,193 participants in the MrOS (Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study) Sleep study. RESULTS: During 11.0 ± 2.8 years of follow-up in SHHS, 729 participants had incident CVD and 192 participants died due to CVD. During 15.5 ± 4.4 years of follow-up in MrOS, 547 participants had incident CVD, and 391 died due to CVD. In multivariable Cox regression models, lower delta wave entropy during sleep was associated with higher risk of coronary heart disease (SHHS: HR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.02-2.06; P = 0.03; MrOS: HR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.17-2.73; P < 0.01), CVD (SHHS: HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.21-2.11; P < 0.01; MrOS: HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.00-2.05; P = 0.05), and CVD mortality (SHHS: HR: 1.94; 95% CI: 1.18-3.18; P < 0.01; MrOS: HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.12-2.47; P = 0.01) after adjusting for covariates. The Shapley Additive Explanations method indicates that low delta wave entropy was more predictive of coronary heart disease, CVD, and CVD mortality risks than conventional sleep parameters. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that delta wave activity disruption during sleep may be a useful metric to identify those at increased risk for CVD and CVD mortality.

Associations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons mixtures with cardiovascular diseases mortality and all-cause mortality and the mediation role of phenotypic ageing: A time-to-event analysis.

The associations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and all-cause mortality are unclear, especially the joint effects of PAHs exposure. Meanwhile, no studies have examined the effect of phenotypic ageing on the relationship between PAHs and mortality. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the independent and joint associations between PAHs and CVDs, all-cause mortality, and assess whether phenotypic age acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel) mediate this relationship. We retrospectively collected data of 11,983 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database. Firstly, Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic splines were applied to evaluate the independent association of single PAH on mortality. Further, time-dependent Probit extension of Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression and quantile-based g-computation models were conducted to test the joint effect of PAHs on mortality. Then, difference method was used to calculate the mediation proportion of PhenoAgeAccel in the association between PAHs and mortality. Our results revealed that joint exposure to PAHs showed positive association with CVDs and all-cause mortality. By controlling potential confounders, 1-Hydroxynapthalene (1-NAP) (HR = 1.24, P = 0.035) and 2-Hydroxyfluorene (2-FLU) (HR = 1.25, P < 0.001) showed positive association with CVDs mortality, and they were the top 2 predictors (weight: 0.82 for 1-NAP, 0.14 for 2-FLU) of CVDs mortality. 1-NAP (HR = 1.15, P < 0.001) and 2-FLU (HR = 1.13, P < 0.001) also showed positive association with all-cause mortality, and they were also the top 2 predictors of all-cause mortality (weight: 0.66 for 1-NAP, 0.34 for 2-FLU). PhenoAgeAccel mediated the relationship between 1-NAP, 2-FLU and CVDs, all-cause mortality, with a mediation proportion of 10.00 % to 24.90 % (P < 0.05). Specifically, the components of PhenoAgeAccel including C-reactive protein, lymphocyte percent, white blood cell count, red cell distribution width, and mean cell volume were the main contributors of mediation effects. Our study highlights the hazards of joint exposure of PAHs and the importance of phenotypic ageing on the relationship between PAHs and mortality.

[Cardiovascular diseases in Switzerland - Prevalence and care]. / Kardiovaskuläre Erkrankungen in der Schweiz ­ Prävalenz und Versorgung.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) represent a significant health problem worldwide and in Switzerland. Despite preventive measures and advances in treatment, cardiovascular diseases still lead to a significant number of hospitalizations in Switzerland (133 000 in 2021) and are for responsible for almost 1/3 of all deaths (19 600 in 2021). Emergency care for acute cardiovascular events now has a very high standard in Switzerland compared to other countries. However, there is a large discrepancy between evidence and daily practice (evidence-performance gap) in cardiovascular risk factor control, because a large percentage of patients do not achieve the goals of the guideline recommendations: 55% of hypertensives, 81% of patients with elevated LDL cholesterol and 44% of diabetics. In addition, 21% of people in Switzerland currently smoke, 42% are considered obese and 24% of people are sedentary. Therefore, primary and secondary prevention offers great potential for reducing the morbidity and mortality of cardiovascular diseases. Sub-optimal control of cardiovascular risk factors leads to preventable cardiovascular events and associated economic costs. Thus, cardiovascular diseases not only affect life expectancy, but also influence the years with reduced quality of life (disability-adjusted life years, DALY). In Switzerland, the main risk factors of cardiovascular diseases lead to a loss of 311 332 DALYs in total, 45 454 DALYs lost by hypertension, 64 445 DALYs lost due to hyperlipidema, 24 283 DALYs due to diabetes mellitus, 47 639 DALYs due to smoking, 21 170 DALYs lost by obesity)and 4 669 DALYs lost due to a lack of exercise. Assuming that one DALY is associated with a socioeconomic burden of CHF 99 417, the total socioeconomic cost of all cardiovascular diseases is 4% of gross domestic product (GDP). Furthermore, cardiovascular diseases caused a cost burden of CHF 27,8 billion in direct and indirect healthcare costs in 2021. Keywords: Cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, risk factors, prevention, healthcare costs, DALY, mortality.

The association of the platelet/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio with self-reported stroke and cardiovascular mortality: a population-based observational study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that the relationship between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and stroke is controversial, and the association between the platelet/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR), a novel marker for inflammation and hypercoagulability states, and stroke has not been established. METHODS: This study presents an analysis of cross-sectional data from the 2005-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Stroke history, HDL-C levels, and platelet counts were obtained during cross-sectional surveys. The PHR was calculated as the ratio of the number of platelets to HDL-C concentration. Weighted logistic regression was used to assess the associations of HDL-C and the PHR with stroke. Nonlinearity of this relationship was determined through restricted cubic splines (RCSs) and two-piecewise linear regression for identifying inflection points. Furthermore, Cox regression was utilized to prospectively analyze the associations of the PHR and HDL-C concentration with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in stroke survivors. RESULTS: A total of 27,301 eligible participants were included in the study; mean age, 47.28 years and 50.57% were female, among whom 1,040 had a history of stroke. After full adjustment, the odds ratio (OR) of stroke associated with a per standard deviation (SD) increase in the PHR was estimated at 1.13 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03 - 1.24, P = 0.01), and the OR of stroke associated with a per SD increase in HDL-C was 0.95 (95% CI: 0.86-1.05, P = 0.30). The RCS indicated a nonlinear relationship for both variables (PPHR = 0.018 and PHDL-C = 0.003), and further piecewise linear regression identified inflection points at PHR = 223.684 and HDL-C = 1.4 mmol/L. Segmental regression indicated that in the PHR ≥ 223.684 segment, the estimated OR of stroke associated with a per-SD increase in the PHR was 1.20 (95% CI: 1.09 - 1.31, P < 0.001), while the association of stroke with HDL-C was not significant before or after the inflection point (P > 0.05). Furthermore, Cox regression and RCS showed that a per-SD increase in the PHR was linearly associated with a greater risk of CVD mortality among stroke survivors (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.22, P < 0.001; nonlinear, P = 0.956), while HDL-C was not significantly associated with CVD mortality. CONCLUSION: The association between the PHR and stroke incidence exhibited a significant threshold effect, with an inflection point at 223.684. A PHR exceeding 223.684 was positively associated with stroke, while the association between HDL-C and stroke was not significant. Additionally, the PHR was positively and linearly associated with CVD mortality among stroke survivors.

Pfizer COVID19 vaccine is not associated with acute cardiovascular events excluding myocarditis- a national self-controlled case series study.

BACKGROUND: Despite publications assuring no increased risk for acute cardiovascular events (excluding myocarditis) and sudden death following administration of COVID19 vaccines, these issues still stir much public ado. We assessed the risk for acute cardiovascular events that require hospitalization (excluding myocarditis) and for mortality in the short-term following administration of the second dose of the Pfizer COVID19 vaccine in Israel. METHODS: Using a self-controlled case series (SCCS) study design and national databases, all second-dose vaccinees, who had not been diagnosed with COVID19 and who had an acute cardiovascular event (acute myocardial infarction/acute stroke/acute thromboembolic event) that required hospitalization in the 60 days following vaccine administration between Jan 11th, 2021 and Oct 31st 2021, were included. A similar analysis was carried out for mortality. The first 30 days following vaccination were defined as risk period while the next 30 days were defined as control period. The probability for an event between these periods was compared using a conditional logistic regression model, accounting for sex, age group, background morbidity and seasonal risk. RESULTS: Out of 5,700,112  second dose vaccinees, 4,163 had an acute cardiovascular event in the 60 days following vaccine administration. Following exclusion of 106 due to technical considerations, 1,979 events occurred during the risk period and 2,078 during the control period: Odds ratio, OR = 0.95, 95% confidence interval, CI 0.90-1.01, p = 0.12. Adjusted OR was similar (OR = 0.88, 95%CI 0.72-1.08). Stratifying by age showed no increased risk in any age group. Mortality assessment indicated low number of events in both periods. These results were consistent in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: There was no increased risk for acute cardiovascular events (excluding myocarditis) in the risk period compared to the control period following administration of the second dose of Pfizer COVID19 vaccine. Mortality data raised no concerns either, but may have been biased.

Community-level group sports participation and all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality: a 7-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Community-level group sports participation is a structural aspect of social capital that can potentially impact individual health in a contextual manner. This study aimed to investigate contextual relationship between the community-level prevalence of group sports participation and the risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality in older adults. METHODS: In this 7-year longitudinal cohort study, data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, a nationwide survey encompassing 43,088 functionally independent older adults residing in 311 communities, were used. Cause of death data were derived from the Japanese governmental agency, The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, for secondary use. "Participation" was defined as engaging in group sports for one or more days per month. To analyze the data, a two-level survival analysis was employed, and hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. RESULTS: Among the participants, 5,711 (13.3%) deaths were identified, with 1,311 related to CVD and 2,349 to cancer. The average group sports participation rate was 28.3% (range, 10.0-52.7%). After adjusting for individual-level group sports participation and potential confounders, a higher community-level group sports participation rate was found to be significantly associated with a lower risk of both all-cause mortality (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83-0.95) and cancer mortality (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81-0.98) for every 10% point increase in the participation rate. For CVD mortality, the association became less significant in the model adjusted for all covariates (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.82-1.09). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the existence of a preventive relationship between community-level group sports participation and the occurrence of all-cause and cancer mortality among older individuals. Promoting group sports within communities holds promise as an effective population-based strategy for extending life expectancy, regardless of individual participation in these groups.

Association of the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with diabetic kidney disease: evidence from the NHANES 2009-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD). DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Data on patients with DKD from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009-2018. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality, diabetes-related mortality and nephropathy-related mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1714 patients were included, with 1119 (65.29%) in normal nutrition group (a score of 0-1), 553 (32.26%) in mild malnutrition group (a score of 2-4) and 42 (2.45%) in moderate and severe malnutrition group (a score of 5-12), according to the CONUT score. After controlling for age, race, marital status, smoking, hypertension, CVD, diabetic retinopathy, poverty income ratio, antidiabetics, diuretics, urinary albumin to creatinine ratio, uric acid, energy, protein, total fat, sodium and estimated glomerular filtration rate, a higher CONUT score was associated with a significantly greater risk of all-cause death (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.46, p<0.001). In contrast to patients with a CONUT score of 0-1, those who scored 5-12 had significantly increased risks of all-cause death (HR 2.80, 95% CI 1.42 to 5.51, p=0.003), diabetes-related death (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.11, p=0.041) and nephropathy-related death (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.04 to 3.24, p=0.036). CONCLUSION: Moderate and severe malnutrition was associated with greater risks of all-cause death, diabetes-related death and nephropathy-related death than normal nutritional status in DKD. Close monitoring of immuno-nutritional status in patients with DKD may help prognosis management and improvement.

The effect of obesity phenotype changes on cardiovascular outcomes in adults older than 40 years in the prospective cohort of the Tehran lipids and glucose study (TLGS): joint model of longitudinal and time-to-event data.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a worldwide health concern with serious clinical effects, including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), and all-cause mortality. The present study aimed to assess the association of obesity phenotypes and different CVDs and mortality in males and females by simultaneously considering the longitudinal and survival time data. METHODS: In the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), participants older than three years were selected by a multi-stage random cluster sampling method and followed for about 19 years. In the current study, individuals aged over 40 years without a medical history of CVD, stroke, MI, and coronary heart disease were included. Exclusions comprised those undergoing treatment for CVD and those with more than 30% missing information or incomplete data. Joint modeling of longitudinal binary outcome and survival time data was applied to assess the dependency and the association between the changes in obesity phenotypes and time to occurrence of CVD, MI, stroke, and CVD mortality. To account for any potential sex-related confounding effect on the association between the obesity phenotypes and CVD outcomes, sex-specific analysis was carried out. The analysis was performed using packages (JMbayes2) of R software (version 4.2.1). RESULTS: Overall, 6350 adults above 40 years were included. In the joint modeling of CVD outcome among males, literates and participants with a family history of diabetes were at lower risk of CVD compared to illiterates and those with no family history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. Current smokers were at higher risk of CVD compared to non-smokers. In a logistic mixed effects model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher among participants with low physical activity, family history of diabetes and older age compared to males with high physical activity, no family history of diabetes and younger age. In females, based on the results of the Bayesian Cox model, participants with family history of diabetes, family history of CVD, abnormal obesity phenotype and past smokers had a higher risk of CVD compared to those with no history of diabetes, CVD and nonsmokers. In the obesity varying model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher among females with history of diabetes and older age compared to those with no history of diabetes and who were younger. There was no significant variable associated with MI among males in the Bayesian Cox model. Odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with low physical activity compared to those with high physical activity in the obesity varying model, whereas current smokers were at lower odds of obesity phenotype than nonsmokers. In females, risk of MI was higher among those with family history of diabetes compared to those with no history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. In the logistic mixed effects model, a direct and significant association was found between age and obesity phenotype. In males, participants with history of diabetes, abnormal obesity phenotype and older age were at higher risk of stroke in the Bayesian Cox model compared to males with no history of diabetes, normal obesity phenotype and younger persons. In the obesity varying model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with low physical activity, family history of diabetes and older age compared to those with high physical activity, no family history of diabetes and who were younger. Smokers had a lower odds of obesity phenotype than nonsmokers. In females, past smokers and those with family history of diabetes were at higher risk of stroke compared to nonsmokers and females with no history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. In the obesity varying model, females with family history of diabetes and older ages had a higher odds of obesity phenotype compared to those with no family history of diabetes and who were younger. Among males, risk of CVD mortality was lower in past smokers compared to nonsmokers in the survival model. A direct and significant association was found between age and CVD mortality. Odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with a history of diabetes than in those with no family history of diabetes in the logistic mixed effects model. CONCLUSIONS: It seems that modifications to metabolic disorders may have an impact on the heightened incidence of CVDs. Based on this, males with obesity and any type of metabolic disorder had a higher risk of CVD, stroke and CVD mortality (excluding MI) compared to those with a normal body mass index (BMI) and no metabolic disorders. Females with obesity and any type of metabolic disorder were at higher risk of CVD(, MI and stroke compared to those with a normal BMI and no metabolic disorders suggesting that obesity and metabolic disorders are related. Due to its synergistic effect on high blood pressure, metabolic disorders raise the risk of CVD.

Association of Cantonese dietary patterns with mortality risk in older Chinese: a 16-year follow-up of a Guangzhou Biobank cohort study.

Background: Evidence about the associations between Cantonese dietary patterns and mortality is scarce. We examined the prospective association of the dietary pattern with all-cause, cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in older Chinese. Methods: We included 19 598 participants of a Guangzhou Biobank cohort study aged 50+ years, who were recruited from 2003 to 2006 and followed up until July, 2022. The diet was assessed by using a 300-item validated food frequency questionnaire. The food items were collapsed into 27 food groups. Factor analysis (FA) was used to identify dietary patterns. Multivariable Cox regression produced hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality. Results: During 305 410 person-years, 4966 deaths including 1971 CVD, 1565 cancer and 1436 other-causes occurred. Four dietary patterns were identified by FA. No association of the vegetable-based dietary pattern with all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality was found. Compared with the lowest quartile of the healthy Cantonese dietary pattern score, the highest quartile showed lower risks of all-cause (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.94) and CVD mortality (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.97). The highest quartile of the nut and fruit dietary pattern showed lower risks of all-cause (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.85-0.99) and CVD mortality (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.72-0.93), while the unhealthy western dietary pattern was associated with a higher risk of all-cause (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.19) and cerebrovascular disease mortality (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.03-1.58). Conclusion: We have first identified four dietary patterns based on the Cantonese cuisine and found that healthy Cantonese and nut and fruit dietary patterns were associated with lower risks of all-cause and CVD mortality, whereas the unhealthy western dietary pattern was associated with a higher risk of all-cause and cerebrovascular disease mortality.

The impact of triglyceride glucose-body mass index on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in elderly patients with diabetes mellitus: evidence from NHANES 2007-2016.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) index and mortality in elderly patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are still unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between TyG-BMI with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among elderly DM patients in the United States (US). METHODS: Patients aged over 60 years with DM from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007-2016) were included in this study. The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and the morality data were extracted from the National Death Index (NDI) which records up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore the association between TyG-BMI index with mortality. Restricted cubic spline was used to model nonlinear relationships. RESULTS: A total of 1363 elderly diabetic patients were included, and were categorized into four quartiles. The mean age was 70.0 ± 6.8 years, and 48.6% of them were female. Overall, there were 429 all-cause deaths and 123 cardiovascular deaths were recorded during a median follow-up of 77.3 months. Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that compared to the 1st quartile (used as the reference), the 3rd quartile demonstrated a significant association with all-cause mortality (model 2: HR = 0.64, 95% CI 0.46-0.89, P = 0.009; model 3: HR = 0.65, 95% CI 0.43-0.96, P = 0.030). Additionally, the 4th quartile was significantly associated with cardiovascular mortality (model 2: HR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.01-3.30, P = 0.047; model 3: HR = 2.45, 95% CI 1.07-5.57, P = 0.033). The restricted cubic spline revealed a U-shaped association between TyG-BMI index with all-cause mortality and a linear association with cardiovascular mortality, after adjustment for possible confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: A U-shaped association was observed between the TyG-BMI index with all-cause mortality and a linear association was observed between the TyG-BMI index with cardiovascular mortality in elderly patients with DM in the US population.

Impacto de la pandemia de COVID-19 en las tendencias de mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares en México, 2000-2022 / Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cardiovascular disease mortality trends in Mexico, 2000–2022

Objetivo: Estimar el impacto de la pandemia de COVID-19 en tendencia de la mortalidad por enfermedad cardiovascular (ECV) en México. Métodos: Se realizó un estudio ecológico donde se analizaron las defunciones por ECV reportadas en México bajo la clasificación CIE-10 con los códigos I10 al I99 para el periodo 2000 al 2022. Se calcularon las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas por edad a nivel nacional y estatal, y posteriormente se estimó la variación porcentual anual mediante el análisis de joinpoint para conocer los cambios en la tendencia de la mortalidad en el periodo estudiado. Resultados: Se presentó un incremento de 27,96 muertes por cada 100.000 habitantes del 2000 al 2022 en México. El análisis joinpoint muestra en el periodo 2019 a 2021 un cambio porcentual anual a nivel nacional de 17.398, y posteriormente se presenta una tendencia negativa entre los años 2021-2022. Los estados como Guanajuato, Tlaxcala y Querétaro mostraron los mayores incrementos en las tendencias de la mortalidad por ECV durante la pandemia por COVID-19. Conclusiones: La tendencia de la mortalidad por ECV en México se incrementó de manera importante durante la pandemia por COVID-19.(AU)

Objective: To estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality trends in Mexico. Methods: An ecological study was conducted where deaths from CVD reported in Mexico under the ICD-10 classification with codes I10 to I99 for the period 2000–2022 were analyzed. Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated at the national and state levels, then the annual percentage variation was estimated using joinpoint analysis to know the changes in the mortality trend in the period studied. Results: There was an increase of 27.96 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants from 2000 to 2022 in Mexico. The joinpoint analysis shows in the period 2019–2021 an annual percentage change at the national level of 17,398 and subsequently a negative trend is presented between the years 2021–2022. The states of Guanajuato, Tlaxcala and Querétaro showed the largest increases in CVD mortality trends during the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: The trend in CVD mortality in Mexico increased significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic.(AU)

Early effective intervention can significantly reduce all-cause mortality in prediabetic patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis based on high-quality clinical studies.

Background: Reducing the occurrence of diabetes is considered a primary criterion for evaluating the effectiveness of interventions for prediabetes. There is existing evidence that early lifestyle-based interventions can significantly decrease the incidence of diabetes. However, whether effective interventions can reduce long-term outcomes in patients, including all-cause mortality, cardiovascular risks, and the occurrence of microvascular complications, which are the most concerning issues for both patients and clinicians, remains a subject of inconsistent research findings. And there is no direct evidence to answer whether effective intervention has long-term benefits for prediabetic patients. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the relationship between early effective intervention and macrovascular and microvascular complications in prediabetic patients. Methods: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched for the randomized controlled trials of lifestyle or/and drugs intervention in prediabetes from inception to 2023.9.15. Two investigators independently reviewed the included studies and extracted relevant data. Random or fixed effects model meta-analysis to derive overall relative risk (RR) with 95% CI for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and microvascular complications. Results: As of September 15, 2023, a total of 7 effective intervention studies were included, comprising 26 articles out of 25,671 articles. These studies involved 26,389 patients with a total follow-up duration of 178,038.6 person-years. The results indicate that effective intervention can significantly reduce all-cause mortality in prediabetic patients without a history of cardiovascular disease by 17% (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70-0.98). Additionally, effective intervention reduced the incidence of retinopathy by 38% (RR 0.62, 95% CI 0.70-0.98). Furthermore, the study results suggest that women and younger individuals have lower all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Subsequently, we conducted an in-depth analysis of patients without a history of cardiovascular disease. The results revealed that prediabetic patients with a 10-year cardiovascular risk >10% experienced more significant benefits in terms of all-cause mortality (P=0.01). When comparing the results of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality from the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study longitudinally, it was evident that the duration of follow-up is a key factor influencing long-term benefits. In other words, the beneficial effects become more pronounced as the intervention duration reaches a certain threshold. Conclusion: Early effective intervention, which significantly reduces the incidence of diabetes, can effectively lower all-cause mortality in prediabetic patients without a history of cardiovascular disease (especially those with a 10-year cardiovascular risk >10%), with women and younger individuals benefiting more significantly. Additionally, the duration of follow-up is a key factor influencing outcomes. The conclusions of this study can provide evidence-based guidance for the clinical treatment of prediabetic patients to prevent cardiovascular and microvascular complications. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero, identifier CRD42020160985.

Inflammatory risk of albumin combined with C-reactive protein predicts long-term cardiovascular risk in patients with diabetes.

AIMS: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of inflammatory risk as defined by the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) for cardiovascular death in patients with diabetes. METHODS: This study included 4956 patients (≥18 years old) with diabetes in the National Health and Nutrition Survey from 1999 to 2010. The mortality rate was determined by the correlation with the national death index on December 31, 2019. The GPS was composed of the serum C-reactive protein and the albumin. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death and the secondary outcome was all-cause death. The Cox proportional risk model adjusted for demographic factors and traditional cardiovascular risk factors was used to analyze the cumulative risk of outcomes. RESULTS: Among 4956 diabetes patients with a median follow-up of 10.9 years, 601 cardiovascular deaths and 2187 all-cause deaths were recorded. After adequate model adjustment, compared with the low GPS group, the high GPS group (HR, 1.257 (1.007-1.570), P = 0.043) had a higher cardiovascular mortality. Compared with the low GPS group, the all-cause mortality of the high GPS group (HR, 1.394 (1.245-1.560), P < 0.001) was higher. The results of subgroup analyses were similar with that of the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The inflammatory risk as defined by the GPS was closely related to the increased risk of cardiovascular and all-cause death in patients with diabetes. It may be a convenient and efficient clinical practical risk assessment tool for patients with diabetes.

The Healthy Eating Index-2015 and All-Cause/Cause-Specific Mortality: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis.

This meta-analysis was undertaken to determine the predictive value of Healthy Eating Index (HEI)-2015 in all-cause, cancer-cause, and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-cause mortality. This review was registered with PROSPERO as CRD42023421585. PubMed and Web of Science were searched for articles published by September 15, 2023. The hazard ratio (HR) was calculated with exact confidence intervals (CIs) of 95%. Statistical heterogeneity among studies was measured by Cochran's Q test (χ2) and the I2 statistic. Eighteen published studies were finally identified in this meta-analysis. The results showed that the HEI-2015 was associated with all-cause mortality either as a categorical variable (HR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.82) or continuous variable (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.92). The HEI-2015 was also associated with cancer-cause mortality as categorical variable (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.83) or continuous variable (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.99). The categorical HEI-2015 was also independently correlated with decreasing CVD-cause mortality (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.75, 0.87). A nonlinear dose-response relation between the HEI-2015 and all-cause mortality was found. In the linear dose-response analysis, the risk of mortality from cancer decreased by 0.42% per 1 score increment of the HEI-2015 and the risk of CVD-cause mortality decreased by 0.51% with the increment of the HEI-2015 per 1 score. Our analysis indicated a significant relationship between the HEI-2015 and all-cause, cancer-cause, and CVD-cause mortality.

Mortality and cardiovascular risk in vasculitis ANCA. Importance of hypertension and renal function. Experience from southern Spain / Mortalidad y riesgo cardiovascular en vasculitis ANCA. Importancia de la hipertension y funcion renal. Experiencia del sur de España

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the principal causes of death in antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-(ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV). Objectives: To evaluate the mortality and it's causes and CVD and its vascular risk factors (VRFs) in AAV patients in Andalusia. Methods: A multicenter cohort of 220 AAV patients followed-up from 1979 until June 2020 was studied in Andalussia, south of Spain. The information, including socio-demographic and clinical data was recorded retrospectively through chart review. Data was analysed using Chi2, ANOVA and Cox proportional hazards regresion as uni and multivariate test with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: During a mean ± standard deviation follow-up of 96.79 ± 75.83 months, 51 patients died and 30 presented at least one CVE. Independent prognostic factors of mortality were age (HR 1.083, p=0.001) and baseline creatinine (HR 4.41, p=0.01). Independent prognostic factors of CVE were age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.042, p=0.005] and the presence of hypertension (HTN) six months after diagnosis (HR 4.641, p=0.01). HTN, diabetes and renal failure, all of these important VRFs, are more prevalent in AAV patients than it is described in matched general population. Conclusions: Age and baseline renal function, but not CVEs, are predictors of mortality and age and early HTN are independent predictors for having a CVE. CVD screening in AAV patients is demanded.(AU)

Introducción: La enfermedad cardiovascular (ECV) es una de las principales causas de muerte en las vasculitis asociadas a anticuerpos anticitoplasma de neutrófilos (ANCA) (VAA). Objetivos: Evaluar la mortalidad y sus causas, entre ellas la ECV y sus factores de riesgo vascular (FRV) en pacientes con VAA en Andalucía. Métodos: Se estudió una cohorte multicéntrica de 220 pacientes con VAA seguidos desde 1979 hasta junio de 2020 en Andalucía. La información, incluidos los datos sociodemográficos y clínicos, se registró retrospectivamente a través de la revisión de historias clínicas. Los datos se analizaron mediante Chi2, ANOVA y regresión de riesgos proporcionales de Cox de forma uni y multivariante con un intervalo de confianza (IC) del 95%. Resultados: Durante un seguimiento medio y desviación estándar de 96,79 ± 75,83 meses, 51 pacientes fallecieron y 30 presentaron al menos un ECV. Los factores pronósticos independientes de mortalidad fueron la edad (HR 1,083, p=0,001) y la creatinina basal (HR 4,41, p=0,01). Los factores pronósticos independientes de ECV fueron la edad [hazard ratio (HR) 1,042, p=0,005] y la presencia de hipertensión arterial (HTA) seis meses después del diagnóstico (HR 4,641, p=0,01). La prevalencia de HTA, diabetes e insuficiencia renal fue elevada o muy elevada en comparación con la población general emparentada, todos FRCV determinantes para el pronóstico de estos pacientes. Conclusiones: La edad y la función renal basal son predictores de mortalidad y la edad y la HTA de aparición precoz son predictores independientes de tener ECV. Se recomienda el cribado de FRCV en pacientes con vasculitis ANCA.(AU)

The 30 Years of Shifting in The Indonesian Cardiovascular Burden-Analysis of The Global Burden of Disease Study.

IMPORTANCE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of mortality and morbidity. Compared with disease burden rates in 1990, significant reductions in Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) burden rates for CVD have been recorded. However, general DALYs rates have not changed in Indonesia in the past 30 years. Thus, assessing Indonesian CVD burdens will be an essential first step in determining primary disease interventions. OBJECTIVE: To determine the national and province-level burden of CVD from 1990 to 2019 in Indonesia. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective observational study was conducted using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019, provided by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), to analyze trends in the burden of CVD, including mortality, morbidity, and prevalence characteristics of 12 underlying CVDs. EXPOSURES: Residence in Indonesia. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Mortality, incidence, prevalence, death, and DALYs of CVD. RESULTS: CVD deaths have doubled from 278 million in 1990 to 651 million in 2019. All CVDs recorded increased death rates, except for rheumatic heart disease (RHD) (- 69%) and congenital heart disease (CHD) (- 37%). Based on underlying diseases, stroke and ischemic heart disease (IHD) are still the leading causes of mortality and morbidity in Indonesia, whereas stroke and peripheral artery disease (PAD) are the most prevalent CVDs. Indonesia has the second worst CVD DALYs rates compared to ASEAN countries after Laos. At provincial levels, the highest CVD DALY rates were recorded in Bangka Belitung, South Kalimantan, and Yogyakarta. In terms of DALYs rate changes, they were recorded in West Nusa Tenggara (24%), South Kalimantan (18%), and Central Java (11%). Regarding sex, only RHD, and PAD burdens were dominated by females. CONCLUSIONS: CVD mortality, morbidity, and prevalence rates increased in Indonesia from 1990 to 2019, especially for stroke and ischemic heart disease. The burden is exceptionally high, even when compared to other Southeast Asian countries and the global downward trend. GBD has many limitations. However, these data could provide policymakers with a broad view of CVD conditions in Indonesia.

New race-free creatinine- and cystatin C-based equations for the estimation of glomerular filtration rate and association with cardiovascular mortality in the AtheroGene study.

Renal function is associated with cardiovascular outcomes and mortality. Among equations used to eGFR, CKD-EPI equations show more accurate association with cardiovascular risk and mortality than MDRD. Recently, new CKD-EPI equations were proposed which do not include race and would be considered sufficiently accurate to estimate eGFR in clinical practice. It is unknown if these new race-free equations are comparably well associated with cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk individuals. The analysis was performed in the AtheroGene Study cohort including patients at high cardiovascular risk. eGFR was determined using the established as well as the recently developed formulas which are calculated without the otherwise existing coefficient for black race. The outcome was cardiovascular death. Analyses included Cox-proportional hazard regression and area-under-the-curve calculation. The analysis included 2089 patients followed up for a median of 3.8 years with a maximum of 6.9 years, corresponding to an overall period of 7701 patient-years. Cardiovascular death occurred in 93 (4.45%), corresponding to an annualized rate of 1.2/100 person-years. In all Cox regression analyses, the estimated adjusted GFR was an independent predictor of cardiovascular death. The equations which included cystatin C showed higher C-index compared to those which did not include cystatin C (0.75-0.76 vs. 0.71, respectively). The equations for the estimation of eGFR which include cystatin C are better associated with cardiovascular death compared to the race-free equations which include only creatinine. This finding adds on the related literature which supports the elimination of race in GFR-estimating equations, and promotion of the use of cystatin C.

Relationship Between Hemoglobin Concentration and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in a 25-Year Follow-up Study of a Japanese General Population　- NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Deviations of hemoglobin from normal levels may be a factor in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk; however, conclusive evidence is lacking. In addition, preclinical conditions may influence hemoglobin concentrations, but studies focusing on reverse causation are limited. Thus, we examined the relationship between hemoglobin concentrations and CVD mortality risk, considering reverse causation.Methods and Results: In a prospective cohort representative of the general Japanese population (1990-2015), we studied 7,217 individuals (mean age 52.3 years; 4,219 women) without clinical CVD at baseline. Participants were categorized into sex-specific hemoglobin quintiles (Q1-Q5) and data were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for possible confounders. During a 25-year follow-up, 272 men and 334 women died from CVD. Adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality across sex-specific quintiles, using Q3 as the reference, were significantly higher for Q1 (1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.82) and Q5 (1.49; 95% CI 1.14-1.96), and remained significant after excluding deaths within the first 5 years of follow-up to consider reverse causation (1.35 [95% CI 1.02-1.79] and 1.45 [95% CI 1.09-1.94], respectively). A similar U-shaped association was seen between transferrin saturation levels and CVD mortality, but after excluding deaths within the first 5 years the association was significant only for Q1. CONCLUSIONS: Low and high hemoglobin concentrations were associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality.